Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 62.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 72.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 67.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Reinhart
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Reinhart
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Reinhart
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (324)
52.4% (853)
-8.3%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
58.6% (174)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (118)
46.5% (144)
-12.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Reinhart shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Monahan
Home
40.5% (232)
53.4% (624)
Away
41.8% (282)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Reinhart
Monahan
P1
46.4%
53.7%
P2
32.6%
52.4%
P3
45.4%
51.6%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |