Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Reinhart wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 58.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 64.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 59.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Reinhart
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Reinhart
Monahan
Last 10: Reinhart 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Reinhart
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
1
Reinhart
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
1
Reinhart
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (2,173)
51.1% (11,356)
-8.6%
Power Play
46.5% (525)
53.7% (2,580)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (339)
46.0% (766)
-4.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Reinhart shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Monahan
Home
44.9% (1,528)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
41.2% (1,509)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Reinhart
Monahan
P1
44.5%
50.9%
P2
40.5%
51.7%
P3
44.5%
51.0%
OT
43.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |