Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.7% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 77.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 78.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Reinhart
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Reinhart
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Reinhart
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (324)
32.1% (81)
+12.0%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
38.6% (57)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (118)
28.6% (14)
+5.3%
On even strength, Reinhart has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Reinhart shoots right. Jarvis is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Jarvis
Home
40.5% (232)
40.6% (69)
Away
41.8% (282)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Reinhart
Jarvis
P1
46.4%
30.9%
P2
32.6%
30.6%
P3
45.4%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |