Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.9% vs Jarvis 46.8% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 57.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 58.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Reinhart
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (77)
44.2% (52)
-5.2%
Power Play
35.4% (48)
33.3% (6)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
40.0% (15)
+0.9%
On even strength, Jarvis has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Reinhart is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Reinhart shoots right. Jarvis is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Jarvis
Home
35.7% (84)
43.6% (39)
Away
41.3% (63)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Reinhart
Jarvis
P1
42.6%
37.5%
P2
34.7%
48.3%
P3
37.3%
38.9%
Final 5 min
28.6%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%