Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Steel 52.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Larsson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Steel
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Larsson
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Larsson
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
51.6% (401)
-1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
66.7% (39)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
44.4% (9)
-2.7%
On power play, Steel has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Larsson shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Larsson
Steel
Home
48.2% (272)
55.8% (206)
Away
49.0% (337)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Larsson
Steel
P1
48.6%
57.0%
P2
56.1%
50.7%
P3
41.0%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Sam Steel |