Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 76.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 62.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Bonino
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Bonino
Steel
Last 10: Bonino 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Bonino
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
6
Bonino
Steel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
49.7% (638)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
60.3% (63)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
42.4% (33)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Bonino shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Bonino
Steel
Home
54.8% (429)
47.3% (349)
Away
50.7% (499)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Bonino
Steel
P1
53.5%
51.2%
P2
49.5%
49.8%
P3
54.8%
50.0%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | OT | 03:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 5, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Sam Steel |