Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 44.6% vs Steel 50.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 66.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 76.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 71.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Thomas
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thomas
Steel
Last 6: Thomas 4-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Thomas
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (297)
49.7% (638)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
60.3% (63)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
42.4% (33)
+32.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Thomas shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Thomas
Steel
Home
40.9% (186)
47.3% (349)
Away
45.8% (131)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Thomas
Steel
P1
43.3%
51.2%
P2
40.6%
49.8%
P3
45.3%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |