Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 44.6% vs Steel 52.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 58.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Thomas
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thomas
Steel
Last 7: Thomas 3-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Thomas
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (252)
51.6% (401)
-9.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (39)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Steel has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Thomas is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Thomas shoots right. Steel is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Thomas
Steel
Home
44.8% (125)
55.8% (206)
Away
40.6% (138)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Thomas
Steel
P1
43.2%
57.0%
P2
44.6%
50.7%
P3
40.2%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Sam Steel |