Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Steel 48.8% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 67.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 64.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 63.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Johansen
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johansen
Steel
Last 6: Johansen 1-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Johansen
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Johansen
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
49.5% (553)
+10.3%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
61.3% (31)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
30.6% (49)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Johansen
Steel
Home
60.3% (436)
46.4% (347)
Away
58.0% (412)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Johansen
Steel
P1
61.3%
52.1%
P2
60.4%
49.8%
P3
56.0%
45.2%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Sam Steel |