Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 49.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 63.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 69.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 61.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Steel
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Steel
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Steel
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Steel
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (383)
46.7% (338)
+2.6%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
50.0% (6)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
32.6% (43)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Steel shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Steel
Bozak
Home
49.4% (180)
47.9% (194)
Away
49.1% (232)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Steel
Bozak
P1
51.9%
40.2%
P2
43.8%
51.4%
P3
52.6%
43.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |