Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 65.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 66.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 67.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Steel
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Steel
Bozak
Last 10: Steel 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
4
3
Steel
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Steel
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
6
Steel
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.1%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
55.2% (1,990)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
48.0% (1,094)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Steel shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Steel
Bozak
Home
50.0% (1,560)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Steel
Bozak
P1
51.9%
53.2%
P2
49.5%
52.8%
P3
49.6%
54.5%
OT
41.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |