Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Helenius wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helenius 47.4% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Helenius
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Helenius
Kuraly
Last 7: Helenius 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
0
Helenius
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helenius
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Helenius
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helenius
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (276)
55.3% (515)
-8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.8% (58)
-44.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Helenius is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Helenius shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Helenius
Kuraly
Home
43.5% (168)
57.3% (293)
Away
50.9% (110)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Helenius
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
41.5%
51.5%
P3
47.5%
57.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |