Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Helenius wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helenius 46.9% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 50.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Helenius
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Helenius
Kuraly
Last 7: Helenius 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
0
Helenius
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helenius
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Helenius
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helenius
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (477)
51.5% (5,141)
-4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.0% (100)
-56.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.2% (1,086)
-24.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Helenius is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Helenius shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Helenius
Kuraly
Home
45.1% (266)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.7% (218)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Helenius
Kuraly
P1
51.0%
51.1%
P2
39.9%
49.9%
P3
47.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |