Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 23 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Laughton 50.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 28-12 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Larkin
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
12
(40 meetings)
28
12
Larkin
Laughton
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
21
2
Larkin
Laughton
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
4
7
Larkin
Laughton
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Laughton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.9% (5,383)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.6% (327)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
46.6% (887)
+3.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,329).
Home / Away
Larkin
Laughton
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Larkin
Laughton
P1
52.7%
49.2%
P2
53.1%
52.9%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
58.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |