Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.8%). Laughton wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 56.0% vs Hertl 57.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 89.0%
Defensive zone
Laughton 87.4%
Neutral zone
Laughton 50.2%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Laughton
Hertl
Last 5: Laughton 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laughton
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
0
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (455)
58.1% (823)
-2.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.2% (265)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (137)
62.9% (35)
-0.1%
On power play, Laughton has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
57.4% (263)
59.7% (561)
Away
56.8% (333)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
55.3%
51.6%
P2
61.4%
63.8%
P3
53.5%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |