Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 49.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 79.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 70.3%
Neutral zone
Laughton 70.7%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Laughton
Hertl
Last 6: Laughton 0-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Laughton
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (761)
57.0% (718)
-7.9%
Power Play
49.3% (69)
64.9% (188)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (147)
44.2% (77)
+3.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
50.7% (485)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.2% (492)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
46.5%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
60.5%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |