Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Laughton wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 47.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 90.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 67.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Laughton
Hertl
Last 10: Laughton 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
5
3
Laughton
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
3
1
Laughton
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (719)
54.1% (1,117)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
59.8% (296)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (229)
34.4% (32)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
50.2% (520)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.5% (557)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
44.2%
51.6%
P2
49.1%
53.6%
P3
48.4%
58.6%
OT
36.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |