Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Laughton wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 45.1% vs Hertl 54.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 67.1%
Defensive zone
Laughton 69.9%
Neutral zone
Laughton 75.7%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Laughton
Hertl
Last 6: Laughton 1-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laughton
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laughton
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Laughton
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (381)
55.0% (382)
-11.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.7% (67)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
75.0% (8)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
40.1% (172)
58.8% (221)
Away
46.8% (216)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
46.1%
52.6%
P2
40.7%
53.6%
P3
44.8%
62.4%
Final 5 min
34.5%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
43.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |