Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Couturier 55.6% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 79.0%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 85.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 87.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Fantilli
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Fantilli
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Fantilli
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Fantilli
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
55.1% (1,008)
-14.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
64.1% (142)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
53.3% (45)
-36.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Couturier
Home
44.1% (488)
58.1% (609)
Away
38.6% (531)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Fantilli
Couturier
P1
42.0%
55.3%
P2
43.0%
55.8%
P3
39.3%
57.4%
OT
11.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |