Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Couturier 48.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 60.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Henrique
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Henrique
Couturier
Last 8: Henrique 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Henrique
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Henrique
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Henrique
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
47.4% (1,052)
+6.0%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
54.7% (95)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
50.3% (183)
-5.6%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Henrique
Couturier
Home
53.9% (245)
48.3% (658)
Away
50.4% (274)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Henrique
Couturier
P1
52.8%
50.1%
P2
56.5%
45.5%
P3
46.1%
49.9%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |