Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 56.1%). Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Couturier 55.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 66.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Henrique
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Couturier
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Henrique
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
55.1% (1,008)
+2.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
64.1% (142)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
53.3% (45)
-7.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Henrique
Couturier
Home
56.4% (518)
58.1% (609)
Away
54.9% (492)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Henrique
Couturier
P1
56.0%
55.3%
P2
55.2%
55.8%
P3
56.2%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |