Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Couturier 54.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 82.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 81.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 75.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Nelson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Nelson
Couturier
Last 10: Nelson 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Nelson
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
6
Nelson
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
55.5% (887)
-12.5%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
51.9% (79)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
54.0% (100)
-9.7%
On even strength, Couturier has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. Couturier is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (737).
Home / Away
Nelson
Couturier
Home
41.9% (391)
52.4% (521)
Away
45.5% (400)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Nelson
Couturier
P1
47.1%
53.4%
P2
43.0%
55.7%
P3
40.9%
56.6%
OT
63.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |