Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Couturier 56.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-2 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 86.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 81.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Nelson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
13
(15 meetings)
2
13
Nelson
Couturier
Last 10: Nelson 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Nelson
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
8
Nelson
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Nelson
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
55.6% (1,008)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
71.7% (138)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
54.2% (177)
-11.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Nelson
Couturier
Home
51.0% (641)
59.8% (696)
Away
44.1% (605)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Nelson
Couturier
P1
48.2%
54.3%
P2
48.1%
59.8%
P3
46.9%
56.6%
OT
42.9%
64.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |