Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Nelson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Couturier
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Nelson
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Nelson
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
55.1% (1,008)
-3.8%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
64.1% (142)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
53.3% (45)
-1.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Nelson
Couturier
Home
52.5% (590)
58.1% (609)
Away
51.7% (619)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Nelson
Couturier
P1
50.5%
55.3%
P2
54.4%
55.8%
P3
51.4%
57.4%
OT
47.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |