Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Couturier 55.6% (-18.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 82.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 87.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Hughes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Hughes
Couturier
Last 6: Hughes 0-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Hughes
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Hughes
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
55.1% (1,008)
-17.2%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
64.1% (142)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
53.3% (45)
-16.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couturier
Home
36.6% (314)
58.1% (609)
Away
38.5% (353)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Hughes
Couturier
P1
36.4%
55.3%
P2
35.6%
55.8%
P3
41.8%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |