Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 50.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 86.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 65.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Couturier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Couturier
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Couturier
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
44.2% (52)
+9.2%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
33.3% (6)
+29.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
40.0% (15)
+10.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Couturier shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Couturier
Jarvis
Home
50.7% (517)
43.6% (39)
Away
56.1% (538)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Couturier
Jarvis
P1
55.2%
37.5%
P2
53.0%
48.3%
P3
53.3%
38.9%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |