Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Couturier wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Jarvis leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarvis 52.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 67.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Couturier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Couturier
Jarvis
Last 10: Couturier 7-3 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
6
4
Couturier
Jarvis
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Couturier
Jarvis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarvis
1
3
Couturier
Jarvis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
42.0% (352)
+10.5%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
43.7% (119)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
38.2% (157)
+10.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Couturier shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Couturier
Jarvis
Home
53.4% (7,147)
43.8% (336)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Couturier
Jarvis
P1
52.5%
39.7%
P2
52.6%
39.5%
P3
52.9%
46.1%
OT
49.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |