Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Couturier wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Jarvis leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 62.2%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 74.8%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 51.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Couturier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Couturier
Jarvis
Last 10: Couturier 4-6 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
6
3
Couturier
Jarvis
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
1
3
Couturier
Jarvis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Couturier
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
46.2% (171)
+7.6%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
51.9% (54)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
39.4% (127)
+3.3%
On even strength, Couturier has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Couturier shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Couturier
Jarvis
Home
54.4% (680)
46.1% (204)
Away
52.4% (614)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Couturier
Jarvis
P1
56.3%
42.5%
P2
51.8%
42.9%
P3
52.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |