Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Wright 45.1% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 87.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 80.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 87.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Couturier
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Couturier
Wright
Last 5: Couturier 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
43.9% (758)
+11.2%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
50.7% (67)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
40.0% (5)
+13.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Couturier shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Couturier
Wright
Home
58.1% (609)
46.3% (406)
Away
53.9% (586)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Couturier
Wright
P1
55.3%
46.8%
P2
55.8%
42.6%
P3
57.4%
44.4%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |