Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Wright 43.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 60.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 70.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Couturier
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Couturier
Wright
Last 8: Couturier 4-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Couturier
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Couturier
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
42.6% (1,318)
+9.9%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
45.8% (131)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
33.3% (6)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Couturier shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Couturier
Wright
Home
53.4% (7,147)
44.2% (746)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Couturier
Wright
P1
52.5%
44.4%
P2
52.6%
40.7%
P3
52.9%
44.0%
OT
49.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |