Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Crosby 55.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 69.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 72.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Couturier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Couturier
Crosby
Last 10: Couturier 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
2
Couturier
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
8
2
Couturier
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
53.5% (961)
-0.1%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
64.1% (237)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
64.3% (14)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Couturier shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Couturier
Crosby
Home
50.7% (517)
56.4% (622)
Away
56.1% (538)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Couturier
Crosby
P1
55.2%
56.0%
P2
53.0%
52.6%
P3
53.3%
58.3%
OT
42.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 02:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |