Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Crosby 57.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 71.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 72.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Couturier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
15
(40 meetings)
25
15
Couturier
Crosby
Last 10: Couturier 9-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
9
Couturier
Crosby
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
2
Couturier
Crosby
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
15
4
Couturier
Crosby
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
57.8% (1,437)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
60.9% (381)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
50.0% (54)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Couturier shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Couturier
Crosby
Home
54.4% (680)
59.2% (985)
Away
52.4% (614)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Couturier
Crosby
P1
56.3%
57.3%
P2
51.8%
59.5%
P3
52.2%
58.5%
OT
60.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2023 | OT | 03:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |