Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 57.0%). Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.3%
Defensive zone
Crosby 50.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 61.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Couturier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Couturier
Crosby
Last 8: Couturier 5-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couturier
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
56.2% (1,451)
-1.1%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
61.4% (293)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
55.3% (38)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Couturier shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Couturier
Crosby
Home
58.1% (609)
59.1% (939)
Away
53.9% (586)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Couturier
Crosby
P1
55.3%
54.9%
P2
55.8%
60.8%
P3
57.4%
55.4%
OT
45.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |