Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.4% vs Thompson 46.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 72.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Couturier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Couturier
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Couturier
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (624)
46.1% (484)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (66)
48.4% (91)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (188)
30.0% (20)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Couturier
Thompson
Home
50.7% (424)
47.9% (313)
Away
56.6% (454)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Couturier
Thompson
P1
55.5%
50.5%
P2
51.7%
44.6%
P3
55.2%
42.3%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |