Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Thompson 45.3% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Couturier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Couturier
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Couturier
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
44.9% (642)
+8.5%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
47.9% (94)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
33.3% (33)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Couturier
Thompson
Home
50.7% (517)
46.0% (391)
Away
56.1% (538)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Couturier
Thompson
P1
55.2%
48.1%
P2
53.0%
44.9%
P3
53.3%
41.2%
OT
42.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |