Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Couturier wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 93.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 78.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 92.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Couturier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Couturier
Thompson
Last 9: Couturier 7-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
0
Couturier
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Couturier
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
1
Couturier
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
44.6% (709)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
41.5% (53)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
35.1% (97)
+7.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Couturier
Thompson
Home
54.4% (680)
45.5% (426)
Away
52.4% (614)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Couturier
Thompson
P1
56.3%
48.5%
P2
51.8%
43.8%
P3
52.2%
38.1%
OT
60.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |