Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 82.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 86.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 80.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Couturier
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Couturier
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
41.9% (597)
+13.2%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
50.5% (95)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
25.0% (12)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Couturier shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Couturier
Thompson
Home
58.1% (609)
47.1% (367)
Away
53.9% (586)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Couturier
Thompson
P1
55.3%
44.2%
P2
55.8%
41.6%
P3
57.4%
42.9%
OT
45.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |