Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 84.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 69.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Couturier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Couturier
Gourde
Last 8: Couturier 5-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Couturier
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
0
Couturier
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
51.2% (469)
+3.9%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
42.9% (21)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
37.5% (48)
+15.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Couturier shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Couturier
Gourde
Home
58.1% (609)
47.8% (301)
Away
53.9% (586)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Couturier
Gourde
P1
55.3%
47.3%
P2
55.8%
53.4%
P3
57.4%
48.6%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |