Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 64.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 60.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Couturier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Couturier
Gourde
Last 10: Couturier 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
6
Couturier
Gourde
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
4
Couturier
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
1
Couturier
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
48.4% (4,954)
+4.1%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
57.4% (376)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
39.9% (554)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Couturier shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Couturier
Gourde
Home
53.4% (7,147)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Couturier
Gourde
P1
52.5%
49.9%
P2
52.6%
47.4%
P3
52.9%
47.5%
OT
49.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |