Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 60.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Stenlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stenlund
Kuraly
Last 6: Stenlund 1-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Stenlund
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
55.3% (515)
+3.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
55.6% (9)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
44.8% (58)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kuraly
Home
58.6% (548)
57.3% (293)
Away
59.7% (506)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Stenlund
Kuraly
P1
60.2%
53.8%
P2
59.1%
51.5%
P3
58.3%
57.6%
OT
58.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | OT | 03:43 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |