Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.2%). Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 64.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kasper
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kasper
Kuraly
Last 7: Kasper 6-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
51.8% (444)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
45.3% (150)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kuraly
Home
51.1% (184)
54.6% (304)
Away
48.5% (194)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Kasper
Kuraly
P1
53.8%
55.2%
P2
52.2%
45.7%
P3
42.6%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |