Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 51.3% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 77.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 73.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 9: McLeod 8-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (534)
58.4% (310)
-4.5%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
66.7% (6)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (77)
53.0% (83)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (337).
McLeod shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
50.5% (275)
57.1% (184)
Away
52.2% (358)
57.7% (215)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
50.5%
56.0%
P2
56.1%
56.6%
P3
47.7%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |