Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 62.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 5: McLeod 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
49.4% (445)
+15.4%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
100.0% (3)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
41.9% (117)
+23.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
64.3% (308)
49.2% (248)
Away
65.7% (344)
47.3% (317)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
62.9%
48.3%
P2
64.8%
44.7%
P3
67.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |