Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 93.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 78.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Kadri
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kadri
Kuraly
Last 6: Kadri 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kadri
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
55.3% (515)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
55.6% (9)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
44.8% (58)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kuraly
Home
46.5% (725)
57.3% (293)
Away
46.0% (739)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Kadri
Kuraly
P1
47.2%
53.8%
P2
44.9%
51.5%
P3
46.3%
57.6%
OT
51.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |