Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Johansen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johansen
Kuraly
Last 6: Johansen 1-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Johansen
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Johansen
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
52.3% (982)
-2.9%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
41.9% (43)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
39.2% (245)
+28.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Johansen
Kuraly
Home
54.7% (655)
50.3% (680)
Away
50.6% (658)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Johansen
Kuraly
P1
52.2%
49.5%
P2
50.7%
49.6%
P3
54.8%
49.0%
OT
53.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |