Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 65.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 61.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 63.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McLeod
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
McLeod
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
55.3% (515)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
55.6% (9)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
44.8% (58)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
McLeod shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
51.8% (612)
57.3% (293)
Away
52.9% (592)
51.2% (289)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
55.4%
53.8%
P2
50.8%
51.5%
P3
51.6%
57.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |