Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 18 meetings). Kuraly wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Oshie 46.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 93.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.1%
Neutral zone
Oshie 65.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Kuraly
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Kuraly
Oshie
Last 10: Kuraly 3-7 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
17
Kuraly
Oshie
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
11
0
Kuraly
Oshie
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
1
Kuraly
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,067)
45.2% (764)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
47.7% (1,221)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (1,063)
40.2% (164)
+3.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kuraly is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,194).
Kuraly shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Oshie
Home
51.7% (3,152)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
48.7% (3,079)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Kuraly
Oshie
P1
50.8%
47.3%
P2
50.0%
45.2%
P3
49.9%
46.7%
OT
54.8%
40.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |