Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Oshie 45.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 79.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 95.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 63.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kuraly
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kuraly
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Kuraly
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Oshie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
57.7% (26)
-5.4%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
41.3% (138)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
0.0% (5)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Kuraly shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Oshie
Home
50.3% (680)
41.0% (78)
Away
48.5% (590)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Kuraly
Oshie
P1
49.5%
42.6%
P2
49.6%
41.9%
P3
49.0%
41.8%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |