Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuraly wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Oshie 47.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 95.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 67.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Kuraly
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuraly
Oshie
Last 5: Kuraly 1-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Kuraly
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
48.3% (29)
+0.9%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
46.3% (149)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
0.0% (2)
+49.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Kuraly shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Oshie
Home
51.7% (603)
55.9% (93)
Away
47.3% (539)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Kuraly
Oshie
P1
50.9%
50.9%
P2
49.5%
42.9%
P3
49.1%
43.6%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |