Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuraly wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.0% vs Oshie 50.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 86.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Kuraly
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kuraly
Oshie
Last 8: Kuraly 5-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Kuraly
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
0
Kuraly
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (416)
51.7% (58)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
49.1% (169)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (97)
54.5% (11)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kuraly is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Kuraly shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Oshie
Home
52.1% (259)
51.3% (113)
Away
45.4% (262)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Kuraly
Oshie
P1
46.8%
53.8%
P2
52.4%
47.5%
P3
47.2%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |