Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 55.9% vs Oshie 48.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 96.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 75.4%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Kuraly
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kuraly
Oshie
Last 9: Kuraly 3-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
6
Kuraly
Oshie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
0
Kuraly
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (310)
43.3% (127)
+15.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
51.7% (151)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
50.0% (12)
+3.0%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Kuraly shoots left. Oshie is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Oshie
Home
57.1% (184)
42.1% (164)
Away
57.7% (215)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Kuraly
Oshie
P1
56.0%
44.7%
P2
56.6%
47.8%
P3
58.0%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |